METHOD OF ANTI-CRISIS MANAGEMENT IN THE NATIONAL SECURITY SUPPORT SYSTEM CONCERNING IMPACT REDUCING OF THE SAFE ENVIRONMENT NEGATIVE TRENDS ON THE STATE NATIONAL INTERESTS REALIZATION PROCESSES

Abstract

In the 21st century, armed conflicts and wars are increasingly being waged in the "Gray zone", that is, outside the boundaries of international law, both in physical space and in other dimensions – informational, cybernetic, cultural, cognitive – mainly by hybrid methods with involvement of irregular formations (private military companies, rebels, terrorists, etc.). As a result, today's interstate confrontation is becoming more and more complex, covering various spheres of national security, characterized by a wide range of negative consequences for the population of the state.
The priority tasks of the law enforcement, special, intelligence and other state bodies of the security and defence sector of Ukraine in accordance with their competence are defined as active and effective countering intelligence and subversive activities, special information operations and cyber-attacks, enemy propaganda, countering external threats to the national security of Ukraine, promoting implementation of national interests, etc.
Sustainable development of the state requires timely a quantitative and qualitative assessment of negative development trends (threats) in order to prevent crisis situations in ensuring the national security of the state.
The proposed method allows for the development of conceptual approaches to the justification of appropriate anti-crisis strategies and programs, as well as recommendations for evaluating the effectiveness of the elimination (neutralization) of negative trends in the development of the geopolitical and military-political situation (threats) in conditions of limited resources.
The basis of the method is the justification of the critical values of the risks of the implementation of destructive factors in certain areas of national security, based on a comparison of which with the assessed current risks, anti-crisis measures are developed: strategies, programs and recommendations for each area of national security in relation to each negative trend identified in the process of monitoring the security environment. The method provides the organization of: systematic monitoring of the effectiveness of anti-crisis management with the definition of criteria for making decisions on the order of anti-crisis measures carrying out.